Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.350948 0.416665 0.490134 0.578188 0.680682 0.796041 0.935536
2024-12-29 0.257223 0.342881 0.449019 0.589480 0.769674 0.992191 1.286804
2025-01-05 0.205435 0.298520 0.422967 0.599993 0.843532 1.164710 1.617840
2025-01-12 0.165994 0.259518 0.392815 0.594196 0.887674 1.296046 1.902578
2025-01-19 0.138270 0.230650 0.369946 0.591740 0.931484 1.426487 2.194560
2025-01-26 0.122895 0.217085 0.366313 0.615059 1.012864 1.615811 2.586944
2025-02-02 0.118942 0.220766 0.389109 0.680919 1.164984 1.923532 3.184142
2025-02-09 0.107980 0.210518 0.387322 0.705809 1.253328 2.139501 3.657421
2025-02-16 0.093465 0.191419 0.367557 0.697172 1.284113 2.264671 3.994544
2025-02-23 0.079156 0.170234 0.340934 0.672548 1.283672 2.336509 4.247584
2025-03-02 0.066416 0.149901 0.312877 0.641280 1.267023 2.377572 4.449472
2025-03-09 0.061768 0.145250 0.313935 0.664469 1.351299 2.600831 4.985709
2025-03-16 0.052373 0.129298 0.291186 0.639977 1.346055 2.668132 5.258883
2025-03-23 0.047793 0.123241 0.287879 0.654136 1.417195 2.882504 5.820844
2025-03-30 0.043562 0.117218 0.283721 0.665802 1.484210 3.094388 6.395196
2025-04-06 0.038525 0.108319 0.271916 0.659423 1.513192 3.234701 6.843109
2025-04-13 0.034398 0.100922 0.262402 0.656720 1.549215 3.391348 7.334893
2025-04-20 0.032479 0.098935 0.265272 0.682394 1.648879 3.684512 8.122383
2025-04-27 0.033296 0.104504 0.287137 0.754870 1.858843 4.221376 9.446055
2025-05-04 0.031533 0.102550 0.290028 0.782246 1.969526 4.558181 10.379354
2025-05-11 0.028159 0.095317 0.278440 0.772747 1.994227 4.713091 10.941006
2025-05-18 0.024433 0.086280 0.260769 0.745660 1.974475 4.769106 11.294294
2025-05-25 0.020904 0.077101 0.241282 0.711256 1.933142 4.773084 11.533262